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              有機磷類產品受磷化工污染治理影響,生產成本有所上漲
              2019-07-24 10:10:56 來源:農藥快訊信息網 瀏覽:1185

              市場行情監控

              本周市場有機磷類產品受磷化工污染治理影響,生產成本有所上漲。但國內正值化工產品淡季檢修盤整,市場行情修復,終端消化原有渠道庫存為主,市場整體觀望氣氛較濃,季節品種剛需詢盤補單集中,整體成交清淡。部分品種行情緩慢回落,價格趨于理性,庫存及開工情況決定上下游的市場博弈。在安全環保檢查壓力不減的情況下,河南工廠的安全事故對化工行業安全生產整治帶來的影響需要持續關注

               

              除草劑市場

              草甘膦原藥受黃磷暴漲的影響,生產成本提高導致價格上漲,價格反彈至2.6萬元/噸以上;草銨膦原藥行情持續低迷,廠家庫存高位,報價走低到11.2萬元/噸;敵草快母藥終端庫存較大,市場逐步消化,但中間體上漲,廠家供貨緊張,市場報價至4萬元/噸。

               

              酰胺類除草劑季節結束,價格維持低位,市場進入淡季盤整。丙草胺原藥報價3.55萬元/噸,后期關注主產園區停限產對市場的影響;乙草胺原藥帶桶送到價格報到2.2萬元/噸以內、丁草胺原藥報價到2.25萬元/噸、異丙草胺原藥報價到2.35萬元/噸、異丙甲草胺原藥報價到2.35萬元/噸,終端用貨結束。苯噻酰草胺原藥終端制劑用藥結束,進入淡季盤整,報價至7.2萬元/噸。

               

              二甲戊靈原藥上游產能擴大,棉田用藥結束,大蒜田用藥需求逐漸啟動,市場維持在4.6萬元/噸。氟磺胺草醚原藥出口弱勢,國內用藥季節結束,實際成交在11.8萬元/噸左右。氟樂靈原藥廠家受環保影響,開車廠家有限,三廢處理難度大,加上目前硝化工藝的停限產,價格上調至4萬元/噸,出口為主,供應偏緊。

               

              高效氟吡甲禾靈原藥終端市場用貨穩定,上游開工率不足,市場報價至24.5萬元/噸。精喹禾靈原藥、煙嘧磺隆原藥下游用藥結束,上游中間體高位,廠家供貨有限,報價26萬元/噸、34萬元/噸的高位。氯氟吡氧乙酸異辛酯原藥廠家開工率低,市場庫存低位,出口市場表現一般,市場報價23.5萬元/噸。

               

              乙氧氟草醚原藥、硝磺草酮原藥成本受高位的間苯二酚影響較大;乙氧氟草醚原藥市場消化原有庫存為主,市場成交價格在18.5萬元/噸;硝磺草酮原藥市場用藥接近尾聲,上游原材料供貨緊張,報價24萬元/噸,出口為主。滅草松原藥上游供應偏緊,下游制劑疲軟,渠道消化庫存為主,季節后期,市場報價12萬元/噸,滅草松水劑報價4.6萬元/噸,成交低迷;氰氟草酯原藥終端需求一般,各環節庫存較大,行情回落,報價20萬元/噸。炔草酯原藥市場整體庫存低位,貨源出口為主,市場報價29.5萬元/噸,供應偏緊。

               

              烯草酮原藥廠家供貨壓力增加,中間體氯代胺供貨緊張,市場價格報到17.5萬元/噸,后期供貨偏緊。異噁草松原藥生產廠家集中并產能受限,低含量貨源主供國內市場,價格報到8.3萬元/噸,高含量原藥主供出口為主。雙氟磺草胺原藥市場備貨積極性提高,市場報價到85萬元/噸,用藥季節來臨,市場庫存不多;噻苯隆原藥依舊供應緊張,出口訂單為主,市場報價46萬元/噸。

               

              莠去津原藥用藥淡季,成交較少,報價至2.2萬元/噸,庫存壓力較大,生產集中度提高。苯酚價格低位,2,4-D原藥開工率增加,報價至1.7萬元/噸。噁草酮原藥廠家停產影響,缺口較大,報價到33萬元/噸的高位,供應仍然十分緊張。

              殺蟲劑市場

              阿維菌素系列原藥行情堅挺,上游廠家排單為主,供貨不暢,下游接受度較差。阿維菌素精粉市場報價78萬元/噸,甲維鹽原藥內外貿訂單明顯增多,成交活躍,流通渠道低價變現貨源減少,廠家報價至120萬元/噸。

               

              煙堿類產品上游CCMP、CCMT、咪唑烷、氰基乙酯、噁二嗪價格維持高位,廠家及渠道庫存承壓,出口低迷,價格回調,整體市場低位運行。吡蟲啉原藥、啶蟲脒原藥行情有所走低,分別報14.2萬元/噸和15.5萬元/噸以內,市場成交清淡,實單商談為主;烯啶蟲胺原藥價格受下游需求弱影響,報價23.5萬元/噸;噻蟲嗪原藥、噻蟲胺原藥國內需求淡季,開工受限,渠道流通變現貨源有所增加,行情下探,分別報價至10.5萬元/噸和15.5萬元/噸。吡蚜酮原藥市場庫存消化,季節后期補貨減少,需求減弱,價格至18萬元/噸以內。

               

              馬拉硫磷原藥供貨緊張,生產廠家少,價格報到2.85萬元/噸的高位;乙基氯化物行情上漲,下游丙溴磷原藥、毒死蜱原藥、辛硫磷原藥受限磷化工整治影響,行情堅挺;丙溴磷原藥價格維持7萬元/噸高位,毒死蜱原藥受三氯吡啶醇鈉行情上漲及供貨緊張的影響,報價上調至4.8萬元/噸,辛硫磷原藥報價至3.8萬元/噸,用藥尾聲,市場緊張緩解。

               

              氟蟲腈原藥廠家停車檢修為主,產能未得到釋放,出口訂單較多,供貨緊張,報價在73萬元/噸。

               

              上游2,6-二氟苯甲酰胺供貨有所緩解,下游原藥廠家生產連續性較差,導致關聯的產品市場價格有所調整,目前氟啶脲原藥報48萬元/噸、氟鈴脲原藥報45萬元/噸以上、虱螨脲原藥報46萬元/噸以上、乙螨唑原藥報價45.5萬元/噸,用藥尾聲需求有所減弱。

               

              菊酯類上游賁亭酸甲酯、醚醛價格高位,功夫酸貨源有所增加,價格走低,菊酯類產品整體出現回調;高效氯氟氰菊酯原藥市場報價至30萬元/噸;聯苯菊酯原藥出口為主,市場報價至35萬元/噸;氯氰菊酯原藥庫存減少,印度進口貨源沖擊,原藥報價到10.5萬元/噸;高效氯氰菊酯母藥市場價格在5.3萬元/噸。

               

              噠螨靈原藥開車廠家少,市場貨源供應緊張,市場價格在11.7萬元/噸;螺螨酯原藥、炔螨特原藥產品需求一般,但市場成交量逐步提高,分別報價至13.5萬元/噸、4.1萬元/噸。

               

              蟲螨腈原藥、聯苯肼酯原藥、甲氧蟲酰肼原藥中間體緊張導致產能釋放受限,市場庫存低位,生產廠家集中度提升,近期價格在36萬元/噸和46萬元/噸、58萬元/噸,預計短期內供應緊張局面不好緩解。

              殺菌劑市場

              殺菌劑市場整體供應壓力仍然較大,安全檢查影響持續;苯醚甲環唑原藥廠家開工率有所恢復,國內下游需求減弱,市場行情開始回調,市場報到24.5萬元/噸;丙環唑原藥受市場庫存影響,出口低迷,價格維持低位,報到11萬元/噸;己唑醇原藥需求低迷,市場價格在14.5萬元/噸,受印度貨源沖擊影響;戊唑醇原藥中間體供應緊張,市場變現低價貨源減少,廠家生產連續性差,外貿市場缺口較大,報價至15萬元/噸左右。三環唑原藥開車廠家少,中間體供應依舊受限,市場價格報到9.3萬元/噸。氟環唑原藥國內廠家開工率低,交出口訂單為主,貨源緊張,市場流通貨源報價85萬元/噸。氟硅唑原藥廠家開車集中,貨源緊張,價格高位,市場報價至45萬元/噸。

               

              吡唑醚菌酯原藥下游需求釋放過快,行情有所反彈,市場價格報到19.5萬元/噸,需求低迷掩蓋了供應偏緊的情況;嘧菌酯原藥廠家排單較多,上游中間體供應仍然緊張,內貿需求低迷,外貿走單為主,市場報價下調至35.5萬元/噸;醚菌酯原藥消化庫存為主,廠家停車居多,市場價格在33萬元/噸;肟菌酯原藥流通貨源報到50萬元/噸左右,國內市場消化庫存為主,出口弱勢。

               

              多菌靈原藥、甲基硫菌靈原藥廠家環保壓力較大,庫存低位,出口需求弱勢,市場價格分別報到3.75萬元/噸、3.2萬元/噸,穩定為主。噁霉靈原藥開工率降低,生產集中度有所提升,市場價格在15萬元/噸;氟啶胺原藥需求增量,生產廠家集中,備貨周期結束,市場價格到35萬元/噸,市場缺口較大;咪鮮胺原藥廠家開車受限,市場庫存低位,價格報到17.5萬元/噸,產量嚴重不足。

               

              氰霜唑原藥市場缺貨持續,廠家開工率不足,市場供應緊張,報價到75萬元/噸以上。噻呋酰胺原藥上游開工率不足,國內備貨后期,需求有所減量,報價維持35萬元/噸。烯酰嗎啉原藥、乙霉威原藥、異菌脲原藥供應依舊緊張,價格分別報到16.2萬元/噸、15萬元/噸、17萬元/噸,目前市場的需求低迷掩蓋了供應不足。

              中間體市場

              本周原油價格震蕩下行,化工行業進入淡季盤整,基礎原材料依舊維持低位。氯堿市場回調后穩定為主;溴素庫存低位,進入需求淡季,市場穩定,報到3.3萬元/噸以內;氟化工市場制冷劑需求旺季,行情上探后平穩;磷化工系列產品行情上漲;醚醛維持高位,賁亭酸甲酯、CCMP價格回調盤整:CCMP價格小幅回調至12萬元/噸以內;CCMT依舊緊張,報價6萬元/噸;功夫酸、聯苯醇市場貨源增多,行情有所走低,功夫酸報價23萬元/噸以內;噁二嗪、咪唑烷、氰基乙酯等價格穩定;部分中間體受限下游開工停限產的影響,需求有所制約。

               

              小結

              上游供應依然承受安全、環保生產大檢查的高壓,開工率不足且接單意愿較低,渠道流通變現貨源消化庫存為主,季節性產品進入淡季修復,市場仍以內外貿需求為導向,按需補單為主,整體觀望氣氛濃厚。


              來源:中農立華原藥

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